Probability

Textbook chapter 14

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Measure the chance of an event in a finite equally likely sample space and check answers using complementary events.

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English · Session 2026–27 · NCERT-aligned study guide

Chapter overview

Measure the chance of an event in a finite equally likely sample space and check answers using complementary events.

Before you begin: Fractions, percentages, sets of outcomes and simple counting.

Key concepts · Solved examples · Practice · Mind map · Timed chapter test

Learn the key concepts

Equally likely outcomes

The classical probability model divides favourable outcomes by all equally likely outcomes. State the sample space before counting. A fair die has six equally likely faces; an unfair die does not support the same simple count.

Complementary events

The event not E contains every outcome outside E. Its probability is 1−P(E). Impossible events have probability 0 and certain events 1. A probability cannot be negative or exceed 1.

Counting carefully

When tossing two fair coins, distinguish HT from TH; the four ordered outcomes are HH,HT,TH,TT. For a bag, count physical objects, not merely colour names. Unless replacement is specified, removing an object changes later counts. The questions here concern single draws or clearly stated simple experiments.

Formula and result checklist

  • P(E)=number of favourable outcomes / number of equally likely outcomes.
  • 0≤P(E)≤1; P(not E)=1−P(E).

Solved examples

Example 1

A fair die is rolled. Find probability of a prime number.

The sample space is {1,2,3,4,5,6}. Prime faces are {2,3,5}; 1 is not prime. Probability=3/6=1/2.

Example 2

A bag has 5 red and 7 blue balls. One is drawn at random. Find P(not red).

There are 12 balls and 7 are not red, so probability=7/12. Check using 1−5/12=7/12.

Example 3

Two fair coins are tossed. Find probability of exactly one head.

Four equally likely ordered outcomes: HH,HT,TH,TT. Favourable outcomes HT,TH give 2/4=1/2. Exactly one excludes HH.

Try it yourself

Work on paper before opening each answer. Show the reasoning and include units when needed.

1. A fair die is rolled. Find P(number greater than 4).

Check answer 1

2/6=1/3.

2. If P(E)=0.35, find P(not E).

Check answer 2

0.65.

3. Choose one integer uniformly from 1 to 10 inclusive. Find P(a multiple of 3).

Check answer 3

Numbers 3,6,9 give 3/10.

Common mistakes to avoid

  • Do not treat colours as equally likely when their ball counts differ.
  • Exactly one, at least one and no heads describe different events.

Chapter mind map

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Take the 6-question, 10-minute chapter practice test. Each correct answer earns 1 mark; there is no negative marking. See explanations after submission.

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Continue learning

Read the corresponding chapter in the official NCERT textbook, then complete its exercises on paper. These NSL explanations and original practice questions support your textbook study; they are not an exercise-by-exercise solution manual.

Official CBSE syllabus 2026–27 · All chapters · Previous chapter

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